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Biden holds narrow lead over Trump in national survey

In this combination of photos, President Joe Biden speaks on Aug. 10, 2023, in Salt Lake City, left, and former President Donald Trump speaks on July 8, 2023, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo)

President Joe Biden is narrowly leading former President Donald Trump by one point, according to a new national survey first shared with The Hill. 

A poll released by the Democratic super PAC Progress Action Fund, which was conducted by left-leaning firm Public Policy Polling, showed Biden leading Trump 46% to 45%. A separate 9% said they were not sure. 


Because the polling falls within the survey’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points, the two men are statistically tied.  

The poll also found that Biden had a 39% approval rating, compared to 55% who said they disapproved of his job as president and 6% who said they were unsure.  

Half of respondents separately had an unfavorable opinion of Trump, compared to 43% who had a favorable opinion and 7% who said they were not sure.  

Biden and Trump last week collected enough delegates to clinch their party’s respective nominations. Polling has shown the two men in tight head-to-head matchups, though some polling in several battleground states have shown Trump leading the president.  

“President Biden is on the rise because he is going on offense and contrasting his accomplishments with Donald Trump’s extreme agenda,” Joe Jacobson, founder of Progress Action Fund, said in a statement.  

“Voters are persuaded when Democrats set the narrative and aren’t afraid to hold MAGA Republicans accountable for their horrific policies.” 

The poll also found that Republicans had a slight edge over Democrats in a generic congressional ballot, with 46% of respondents saying they would vote for the Republican candidate in their district if the election were held together, compared to 45% who said the Democrat and 9% who said they were unsure. 

The Public Policy Polling survey was conducted between March 12 and March 13 with 837 registered voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. 

Read poll data by kballuck1 on Scribd