BELOW SUPERNAV drop zone ⇩

UCLA forecast predicts another Roaring Twenties after the pandemic

MAIN AREA TOP drop zone ⇩

MAIN AREA TOP drop zone ⇩

ovp test

mLife Diagnostics LLC: Oral Fluid Drug Testing

Male shot by female at Shreveport apartment

Class to create biodiverse backyard

Rules for outbursts at Caddo School Board Meeting

Testing widget old system

Lorenzo shared

Mortgage Calculator

This calculator helps you estimate your monthly mortgage payment. It adds up the loan payment (principal + interest), property tax, and insurance. The loan payment is spread out over the years of your loan term.

This is the total amount you're borrowing from the bank.
This is the yearly interest rate on your loan.
This is how long you'll take to repay the loan.
This is the yearly tax you pay on your property.
This is the yearly cost to insure your home.

Monthly Payment Breakdown

Principal and Interest: $

Property Tax: $

Homeowners Insurance: $

Total Estimated Monthly Payment: $

LOS ANGELES (NewsNation Now) — Signs of the horrible economy are evident in Southern California and across America. So the UCLA forecast of a new Roaring Twenties is welcome news, but a tough few months are still ahead.

According to UCLA’s Anderson Forecast, a robust economic recovery should begin right after that.

Economist Leo Feler of UCLA believes a new Roaring Twenties will parallel the last one. Just as it was in the Gilded Age, it won’t be a boom for all.

“Because we’re coming out of relatively such a deep hole, we’re going to be coming out relatively fast,” said Feler.

“It’s going to be a Roaring 2020s but for whom? And the answer is going to continue to be very unequal,” said Feler. “It’s going to take a while for unemployment to come down because we’ve decimated parts of our economy that are very labor intensive. That’s going to take a long time to recover.”

Feler’s latest UCLA Anderson forecast says a strong California recovery will be bolstered by sectors such as technology and residential construction.

Nationally, the forecast predicts the current dismal GDP rate of 1.2% will grow to 1.8% in the first quarter of next year. And then, America will see a booming jump to 6%.

“Thereafter, all the way through 2023, we’re forecasting growth of about 3% every single quarter. We haven’t had growth like that in really the past decade,” said Feler.

But the numbers are based on the mass vaccination of Americans against COVID-19 by next summer — a likelihood that may be hampered by availability and logistics.

And Feler stresses the outlook doesn’t reflect the economic misery of many. Though, in general, he says a depressing marathon is almost over. 

“We’re coming into a time of more normalcy. A time when we expect people after the past year to be consuming much more than they were previously and catching up with the experiences that they missed out on,” said Feler.

Carl Tannenbaum is Chief Economist at Northern Trust, which is also predicting GDP at around 6% by next summer. But things won’t necessarily be rosy.

“I think the fundamental long term for the economy is okay but certainly not roaring,” said Tannenbaum. “We have a lot of debt that we’re going to have to pay down. But the demographics of the U.S. are skewing a little bit towards the older which is usually not associated with a roaring economy.”

The UCLA report also confirms the pandemic has contributed to inequality — with essentially — the rich getting richer.

The “haves” have accumulated about $1.6 trillion in savings in the past 9 months; money that may fuel the economy when things open up.

U.S.

Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed

Site Settings Survey

 

MAIN AREA MIDDLE drop zone ⇩

Trending on NewsNation

MAIN AREA BOTTOM drop zone ⇩

tt

KC Chiefs parade shooting: 1 dead, 21 shot including 9 kids | Morning in America

Witness of Chiefs parade shooting describes suspect | Banfield

Kansas City Chiefs parade shooting: Mom of 2 dead, over 20 shot | Banfield

WWE star Ashley Massaro 'threatened' by board to keep quiet about alleged rape: Friend | Banfield

Friend of WWE star: Ashley Massaro 'spent hours' sobbing after alleged rape | Banfield

Cloudy

la

64°F Cloudy Feels like 64°
Wind
2 mph E
Humidity
80%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Partly cloudy skies early will give way to cloudy skies late. Low 61F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.
61°F Partly cloudy skies early will give way to cloudy skies late. Low 61F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.
Wind
6 mph W
Precip
8%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Gibbous