BELOW SUPERNAV drop zone ⇩

When will we know if the interest rate hikes are working?

A man shops at a supermarket on Wednesday, July 27, 2022, in New York. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its benchmark interest rate by a hefty three-quarters of a point for a second straight time in its most aggressive drive in three decades to tame high inflation. The Fed is tightening credit even while the economy has begun to slow, thereby heightening the risk that its rate hikes will cause a recession later this year or next. (AP Photo/Andres Kudacki)

MAIN AREA TOP drop zone ⇩

ovp test

mLife Diagnostics LLC: Oral Fluid Drug Testing

Male shot by female at Shreveport apartment

Class to create biodiverse backyard

Rules for outbursts at Caddo School Board Meeting

Mortgage Calculator

This calculator helps you estimate your monthly mortgage payment. It adds up the loan payment (principal + interest), property tax, and insurance. The loan payment is spread out over the years of your loan term.

This is the total amount you're borrowing from the bank.
This is the yearly interest rate on your loan.
This is how long you'll take to repay the loan.
This is the yearly tax you pay on your property.
This is the yearly cost to insure your home.

Monthly Payment Breakdown

Principal and Interest: $

Property Tax: $

Homeowners Insurance: $

Total Estimated Monthly Payment: $

(NewsNation) — As the Federal Reserve announces its third interest rate hike since June in its battle against inflation, some may be starting to wonder if the rate increases are actually working.

Despite the fed’s efforts, inflation continues to hover near 40-year highs and policymakers expect more rate increases will be necessary to cool consumer demand.

But experts say the results from those actions could still be months away.

“It’s probably going to be well into 2023 before we can look back and see if we’ve seen any material and sustained decline in inflation pressures,” said Greg McBride, the Chief Financial Analyst at Bankrate.com.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark short-term rate another 0.75 percentage points, bringing the central bank’s lending rate to a new target range of 3% to 3.25% — the highest level since early 2008.

McBride expects the labor market and the broader economy to slow down as the effects from the rate hikes set in over the coming months.

There are some indications that’s already started happening as the rising cost of borrowing hits businesses and consumers alike.

Last week, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate surged past 6% for the first time since the housing crash of 2008. That’s more than double the rate at this time last year.

As mortgage rates have risen, the once red-hot housing market has responded in kind.

After a strong year in 2021, sales of existing homes have fallen, declining for a seventh consecutive month in August, according to data from the National Association of Realtors.

Credit card borrowing rates are also at the highest levels in decades. Today, the average credit card rate is 18.16%, up from 16.21% this time last year, according to Bankrate.

Federal Reserve data shows total credit card balances are now at a record high $900 billion, though that amount isn’t adjusted for inflation, according to the Associated Press.

Auto loans have also risen substantially over the last year, Bankrate found.

The Fed is hoping all of those upward pressures help curb demand and bring down skyrocketing inflation that’s running at an annual rate of 8.3%.

when will the labor market slow down?

Despite the swirling economic headwinds, the American labor market remains historically tight. The number of job openings topped 11.2 million in July, nearly double the number of available workers.

The most recent unemployment data shows the number of people filing new claims increased moderately last week but still remains near historic lows. It’s a sign the Fed’s efforts to cool demand have yet to substantially impact American jobs.

That could be a roadblock to lowering inflation, which means unemployment rates may have to rise before prices come down. Fed Chair Jerome Powell appeared to acknowledge as much at a press conference Wednesday when he said there is no “painless” way to lower costs.

Fed policymakers now project the unemployment rate will rise to 4.4% by the end of next year — up from 3.7% today.

McBride said he’s not particularly surprised the labor market is taking longer to react to the interest rate hikes and expects that to change in the next few months.

“The labor market is a bit of a lagging indicator,” said McBride. “By the time we get the alarming jobs report that makes everybody realize that we’re not in Kansas anymore, we will have seen a bevy of other indicators that have already told us the same thing.”

Fed officials expect to raise the benchmark rate to roughly 4.4% by year’s end, a full point higher than they had envisioned as recently as June.

Business

Copyright 2024 Nexstar Media Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed

MAIN AREA MIDDLE drop zone ⇩

Trending on NewsNation

MAIN AREA BOTTOM drop zone ⇩

tt

KC Chiefs parade shooting: 1 dead, 21 shot including 9 kids | Morning in America

Witness of Chiefs parade shooting describes suspect | Banfield

Kansas City Chiefs parade shooting: Mom of 2 dead, over 20 shot | Banfield

WWE star Ashley Massaro 'threatened' by board to keep quiet about alleged rape: Friend | Banfield

Friend of WWE star: Ashley Massaro 'spent hours' sobbing after alleged rape | Banfield

Clear

la

56°F Clear Feels like 55°
Wind
4 mph N
Humidity
50%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

Clear this evening then becoming cloudy after midnight. Low 49F. Winds light and variable.
49°F Clear this evening then becoming cloudy after midnight. Low 49F. Winds light and variable.
Wind
4 mph NE
Precip
1%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Waning Crescent