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Nearly half of swing-state voters expect violence around election: Survey

A photo of Joe Biden next to one of Donald Trump.

President Biden, left, and former President Donald Trump.

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Nearly half of voters across a group of swing-states said they expect violence around the upcoming presidential election, according to a new poll.

The Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll asked voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, “How much do you trust each of the following — That the election and its aftermath will be free from violence.”

Thirty-one percent of respondents said “not much,” while 18 percent said “not at all.” Thirty-five percent said “some,” and those answering “a lot” equaled 16 percent.

The same poll also found that in a hypothetical match-up between former President Trump and President Biden, the swing-state voters went for Trump by 4 points, with Trump at 48 percent in the poll versus Biden’s 44 percent.

A recent poll from The New York Times found Trump ahead of Biden by 3 percentage points in Pennsylvania, 5 points in Michigan, 7 points in Arizona, 10 points in Georgia and 12 points in Nevada. Biden, however, beat Trump in Wisconsin by 2 points.

Biden won each of the six states in the 2020 election, but not by large amounts.

Voters will get to see Biden and Trump clash in person this summer, as they rapidly agreed to two debates last week, with one set for the end of June.

The Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll was conducted from May 7-13, with a sample of 4,962 registered voters from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and a margin of error of 1 percentage point.

2024 Election

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